ALM: A resource overlooked
The term “stable environment” is seldom heard now in conversations related to the world of banking. Whether it’s adjusting operations due to pandemic restrictions, dealing with staffing shortages due to a low unemployment environment, managing an investment portfolio when the yield curve is inverted, or controlling a margin after unprecedented rate hikes by the FED to combat inflation, external changes have created new environments for banker’s to navigate.
What about future? In February of this year, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) came out with their 2024-2034 Budget and Economic Outlook. Many of the numbers were sobering. However, when it comes to interest rates, the projection are for a return to a more normal shape with longer term rates falling within 4-5% range. How will your bank fair if this is what would come to pass? If this is you’re your expecting, what kind of rate change would cause you a problem and how?
Asset Liability Management (ALM) systems are designed to address these types of rate shift questions. But because they isolate the exposure of interest rate movements, ALM is often viewed as the compliance tool that is reviewed quarterly. Remember those other external factors? What about your strategic plan and how that comes into play? The good news is that some of today’s ALM systems can bring those perspectives in as well. One of the leading systems is Bankers’ Banks ALM Driver program. Residing within the Risk Management Solutions division, ALM Driver incorporates the whole picture of your bank’s reality and brings the power of Bankers’ Bank’s resources and perspective of community banking.
With the instrument level information from your Core, the ALM system contains the foundation for understanding a world of possibilities. But this is the very reason why many banks don’t use the system beyond the compliance aspect. The future is uncertain, so how can a banker reasonably use this without getting bogged down or ending up with so much information it’s basically unusable? A few key steps should be taken to get more out of it for you.
- Be dynamic. An ALM system is often viewed only as a compliance stress test because it needs to make assumptions like “no balance sheet changes” and “no market rate changes”. To understand the bank’s real exposures for cash flows and margins, you need to incorporate your unique dynamic situation based on your strategic plan or forecasts.
- But don’t over engineer. Incorporating too many factors about the future will consume a lot of energy, potential cloud the impacts of the main assumptions, and create numerous questions when discussing modeling results.
- Leverage your partner. Your time, and your staff’s time, is your bank’s scarcest resource. To get the most out of dynamic modeling while balancing your time commitment requires a strong partner to lean on. At Bankers’ Bank, this is what the ALM Driver team is designed to do. Experienced bankers that listen to your objectives and get to know your unique environment. The ability to bring in perspectives from capital markets, lending, and finance. Modeling expertise that can efficiently engage with the tool and leverage available analytics. All with a tool that allows you access, so you can see the impacts to the depth you want to.
Bankers’ Bank’s ALM Driver solution is about looking beyond compliance measurement, to look dynamically at your information so you can better understand both the risk and the possibilities in the future. Please contact our ALM Driver team for more information at almdriver@bankersbank.com.